By M Mohapatra
The author is Scientist-E & Head (RSMC), IMD, New Delhi. email@example.com
Forecasting deals with the prediction of genesis, location/track and intensity of a tropical cyclone. It also aims at predicting associated adverse weather such as heavy rains, gales, high waves, storm surges and coastal inundation.
Losses caused by a tropical cyclone (TC) depends on hazard and vulnerability analysis, preparedness and planning, early warning, prevention and mitigation. Early warning is a major component of disaster management in the south Asian region. This involves monitoring and prediction of a cyclone, effective warning and dissemination of relevant information to people, coordination with emergency response units and public perception regarding the credibility of official warning signals (Fig. 1). Continuous upgradation of an early warning system is necessary for effective...